Oil rockets from 12-year low on renewed talk of OPEC cut lweb.es/f826
OEF REVIEW:The United Arab Emirates’ energy minister has said that OPEC was willing to cooperate on an output cut. Many traders were skeptical noting that Venezuela and Russia had tried in vain to stir Saudi Arabia and other major producers into agreeing to cuts, but after a price slump that has taken crude prices to more than 12-year lows, many of these traders were inclined to believe that a rebound was due sooner or later. “We expect declining U.S. oil production, in particular, to drive the oil price back up to $50 per barrel by the end of the year,” Frankfurt-based Commerzbank said in a note.
OEF REVIEW:The February 2016 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report indicates the following, on page 17, with regard to “Recent Interactions Between the Oil Market and the Global Economy”: It seems that the overall negative effect from the sharp decline in oil prices since mid-2014 has outweighed benefits in the short-term and there seems to be a ‘contagious’ effect taking place across many aspects of the global economy…more
OEF REVIEW:The head of Russian state-run oil company Rosneft on Wednesday floated the idea of a coordinated output cut by major oil-producing countries to prop up sagging prices but fell short of saying whether Moscow would contribute to such a plan. Rosneft Chief Executive Igor Sechin, in a speech at the International Petroleum Week conference in London, attributed oversupply in the market to overproduction by members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. He suggested major oil producers each cut production by 1 million barrels per day.
OEF REVIEW:OPEC oil production has jumped to its highest in recent history in January as Iran increased sales following the lifting of sanctions and its rivals Saudi Arabia and Iraq also boosted supply, a Reuters survey showed on Friday. Rising output in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries further aggravates the market share battle between top global producers. In the past year this has flooded the market with new barrels, creating one of the worst oil gluts in history and helping send prices to a 12-year low.
OEF REVIEW:The Company’s net production target for 2016 is in the range of 470-485 million barrels of oil equivalent (BOE), of which approximately 66% and 34% are produced in China and overseas respectively. The net production targets set for 2017 and 2018 are around 484 and 502 million BOE respectively. The estimated net production for 2015 was approximately 495 million BOE.
OEF REVIEW:With oil prices touching their lowest level since 2003, Dmitry Zhdannikov writes that OPEC officials and deal brokers are looking back nearly two decades and asking whether a behind-the-scenes deal to curb oil output between OPEC and non-OPEC Russia could be struck. He suggests that a paper by Robert Mabro, founder of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies who helped to broker the 1998 oil deal, could could throw light on the current problem. Mabro wrote at the time: “Changes in policy are always possible, even likely, when significant revenue losses are at stake”. 
The OPEC Reference Basket fell to average $45.46 a barrel in August. This was mostly attributed to sell-offs amid enduring oversupply and Chinese economic turbulence. Demand for OPEC crude is estimated at 29.3 million barrels per day in 2015, up 0.4 million barrels per day from the previous year.